MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7385ce4faee39219cddbb27b12c09bb83bd2a177960803a9f071296751fc551c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 40c | 17,361$6,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.39 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 60c | 13,371$7,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b8…3668backed Over | 62c | 3,923$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Under | 38c | 2,855$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 1,724$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 23c | 1,135$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 62c | 1,060$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 1,034$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 63c | 986.03$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.83 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Under | 38c | 775.71$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.77 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 62c | 449.81$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 43c | 375.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6266backed Over | 54c | 358.43$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 63c | 319.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 37c | 305$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 37c | 297.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 62c | 245.09$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…2f15backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 37c | 139$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 37c | 131.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 49c | 120.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…32f0backed Over | 80c | 101.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 44c | 94.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 60c | 82.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 59c | 81.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 38c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 64c | 64.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 75c | 61.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 75c | 61.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 75c | 56.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 54.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…664fbacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 37c | 52.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 31c | 47.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 43.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 62c | 42.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…0801backed Over | 79c | 42.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 37c | 37.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 59c | 35.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 75c | 31.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…f176backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Over | 60c | 22.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 62c | 19.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…cb3abacked Over | 63c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.