MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2010f7c6ae0fcbcefc3421bb00875ce2f928d63f9634ca577074e85c5cb75e1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 203,235$103,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,011.83 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed Under | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed Under | 49c | 34,340$16,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,826.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 49c | 20,200$9,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,898 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 50c | 18,017$9,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.76 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 48c | 16,838$8,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,755.96 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Under | 49c | 16,160$7,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,918.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 16,046$7,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,863.7 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 52c | 15,600$8,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,112 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 15,300$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650.33 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed Under | 49c | 14,140$6,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,928.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 13,473$6,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,822.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed Under | 6c | 13,068$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Under | 49c | 12,502$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 49c | 9,900$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 54c | 7,370$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.97 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 49c | 6,965$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.88 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 50c | 5,943$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.31 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed Under | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 4,611$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…98c0backed Under | 49c | 4,040$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 3c | 3,263$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Under | 49c | 3,030$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.7 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 2,645$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 49c | 2,626$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.69 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 66c | 2,228$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.36 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…5280backed Under | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 48c | 2,001$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.48 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 1,950$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,792$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,758$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 1,337$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 50c | 1,137$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.1 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 1,005$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 874.77$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.63 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Under | 52c | 778.29$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 593.21$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 35c | 557.61$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Over | 52c | 549.43$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 55c | 395.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 49c | 385$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Under | 52c | 376.92$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 312$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 37c | 307.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.06 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 55c | 303.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.82 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 55c | 236.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 222.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 52c | 214.85$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Under | 49c | 205.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 194.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 33c | 184$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…edf7backed Under | 55c | 158.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 158$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 64c | 148.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 51c | 138$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…3968backed Under | 54c | 137.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 51c | 133$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 112.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 63c | 111$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 51c | 104.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…f413backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 43c | 98.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…78e1backed Under | 57c | 97.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Under | 58c | 95.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 50c | 94.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…c0f6backed Under | 58c | 84.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…5027backed Under | 50c | 84.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 80.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Under | 61c | 71.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Over | 50c | 70.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 50c | 69.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 66.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 49c | 58.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 58c | 56.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…4a05backed Over | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…2f02backed Under | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.