TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$318,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over51c203,235$103,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,011.8346949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed Under49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,60020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x719b…30e5backed Under49c34,340$16,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,826.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under49c20,200$9,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,89823538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over50c18,017$9,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,949.7686548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over48c16,838$8,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,755.9671650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7822…9348backed Under49c16,160$7,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,918.4812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under49c16,046$7,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,863.72,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under52c15,600$8,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,11215451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c15,300$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,650.334,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed Under49c14,140$6,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,928.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c13,473$6,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,822.1311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under6c13,068$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.17425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+153.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Under49c12,502$6,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,125.982245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under49c9,900$4,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8518633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under54c7,370$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.976936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under49c6,965$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.886036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under50c5,943$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.317843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf499…b5d9backed Under53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c4,611$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.3210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff1…98c0backed Under49c4,040$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75032652.5%171 W · 155 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Under3c3,263$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.63697.2%5 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+122.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…694fbacked Under49c3,030$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.71822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c2,645$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.718,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under49c2,626$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.6936246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under66c2,228$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.3611446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2c…5280backed Under49c2,020$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under48c2,001$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.4845445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40219.5%2 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under50c1,950$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9781,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,792$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.226,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c1,758$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.3912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under49c1,337$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.612,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under50c1,137$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.11,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under6c1,005$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2470737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c874.77$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.638,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb361…7348backed Under52c778.29$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.510953.2%58 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.32445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over50c593.21$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.258,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under35c557.61$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.392,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Over52c549.43$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.231154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25045252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over55c395.18$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.832,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under49c385$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6512143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…227fbacked Under52c376.92$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c312$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over37c307.17$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.065,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507657.9%44 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under55c303.13$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8279955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Over52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under55c236.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13081257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under50c222.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.151,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under52c214.85$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7222050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Under49c205.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Under52c195$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.423052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c194.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.052,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over33c184$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5152638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.61,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6654…edf7backed Under55c158.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c158$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under64c148.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0947358.4%276 W · 197 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under51c138$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3854642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fd…3968backed Under54c137.77$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.041060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over51c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1773653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.651,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c112.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.449,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under63c111$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.621,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under51c104.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5321547%101 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x705f…f413backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Under43c98.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6815340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa845…6b8fbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508351.8%43 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd20f…78e1backed Under57c97.83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed Under58c95.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.798846.6%41 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Under50c94.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.268342.2%35 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10a0…c0f6backed Under58c84.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…5027backed Under50c84.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked Over49c83.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.677651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under55c80.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.095,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.072,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Under61c71.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.815554.5%30 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Over49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4318556.2%104 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed Over50c70.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.126342.9%27 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under50c69.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7487750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over49c66.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.021,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Under51c58.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8215352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under49c58.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4331446.8%147 W · 167 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under58c56.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4547056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Over52c51.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.924770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53fc…2f02backed Under54c51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.