TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Florent Bax

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ilia Simakinof Ilia Simakin, Florent Bax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6982…a165backed Florent Bax38c32,252$12,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,225.3262956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Florent Bax13c15,842$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12071329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Florent Bax13c15,083$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.0725255.2%139 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ilia Simakin62c13,576$8,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,158.751,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ilia Simakin78c13,549$10,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.188,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Florent Bax21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1004,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Florent Bax25c8,009$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Florent Bax10c7,169$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.2213943.9%61 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Florent Bax23c6,043$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.953,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Florent Bax21c4,916$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.688,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Ilia Simakin62c2,194$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.5359852.7%315 W · 283 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Florent Bax42c2,031$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.181,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed Florent Bax2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40500%0 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b04…71c0backed Florent Bax38c1,894$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.82657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Florent Bax33c1,841$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.32339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ilia Simakin76c1,723$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.74,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Florent Bax12c1,681$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.578,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ilia Simakin70c1,530$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.594,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Florent Bax17c1,383$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.845935.5%163 W · 296 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4301…ac39backed Florent Bax25c1,314$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4419041.6%79 W · 111 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Florent Bax16c1,251$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013918.7%26 W · 113 L+0.3wins0.00per pick18cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc48a…c6c4backed Florent Bax8c1,005$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.355514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Florent Bax18c960.89$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9271725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…2482backed Florent Bax11c857.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.869433%31 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed Ilia Simakin59c847.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.549547.4%45 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ilia Simakin80c817.95$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.781,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Florent Bax25c815.68$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.136,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Florent Bax13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036521.6%79 W · 286 L+1.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524c…20c0backed Ilia Simakin63c746.43$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.439053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Ilia Simakin78c696.34$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.651,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Florent Bax38c695.06$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.066,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ilia Simakin56c604.65$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.053,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Florent Bax37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22266444.6%296 W · 368 L+29.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Florent Bax36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2166,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Ilia Simakin80c573.7$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1887450.6%442 W · 432 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Florent Bax40c570$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.389,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Florent Bax18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020152.2%105 W · 96 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Ilia Simakin61c548$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7214351%73 W · 70 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Ilia Simakin79c537.59$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7380558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x235d…450bbacked Florent Bax40c509.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.11625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Florent Bax29c505.91$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14663537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7f…b3b9backed Florent Bax37c504.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.851118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37d6…664fbacked Florent Bax3c504.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.18714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Florent Bax35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Florent Bax2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011826.3%31 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Ilia Simakin80c474.2$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7395050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ilia Simakin67c406.62$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.214,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Ilia Simakin76c394$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5625546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Florent Bax18c345.01$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.592,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe004…d87cbacked Ilia Simakin65c342.83$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2615060%90 W · 60 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Florent Bax28c341.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.151,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Ilia Simakin76c331.12$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4711372.6%82 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Florent Bax42c330.69$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.14,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ilia Simakin64c326.14$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.585,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Ilia Simakin66c325.89$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.882,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1adc…b884backed Florent Bax15c320$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484515.6%7 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Ilia Simakin63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.467635.5%27 W · 49 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick29cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Florent Bax30c305$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1555941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Ilia Simakin63c299.66$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4623360.1%140 W · 93 L+21.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Florent Bax32c299.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.154,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Florent Bax21c281.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.072,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ae…3a89backed Florent Bax36c270.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.55851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Ilia Simakin70c253.8$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6249749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Ilia Simakin60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,17852.4%617 W · 561 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Florent Bax37c241.87$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.491,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d7…9c21backed Ilia Simakin60c230.25$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x449f…2d2ebacked Florent Bax16c225$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.525447.6%121 W · 133 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Florent Bax32c224.37$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.82,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Florent Bax45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027655.1%152 W · 124 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Florent Bax25c219.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.661,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Florent Bax34c217.29$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.884,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Ilia Simakin75c201.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6754955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb74c…f4f1backed Ilia Simakin57c193.6$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2515844.9%71 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Florent Bax13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf73a…58a9backed Florent Bax16c183.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292544%11 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+54.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Florent Bax32c181$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.425,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Florent Bax18c177.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.162,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Ilia Simakin57c175.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.631752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f9…3dcabacked Ilia Simakin66c173.05$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.299643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Florent Bax30c168.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.792,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Ilia Simakin60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6716867.9%114 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Florent Bax31c161.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Florent Bax28c160.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2916051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Ilia Simakin63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.736453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Ilia Simakin54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691,54049.2%758 W · 782 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Ilia Simakin61c147.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7195455.5%529 W · 425 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Ilia Simakin74c147.45$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.679245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Ilia Simakin61c145$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5574343.7%325 W · 418 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd898…20e7backed Ilia Simakin70c143$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Ilia Simakin61c142.43$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.081,00250.2%503 W · 499 L+45.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Florent Bax40c139.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.761,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Florent Bax33c136.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Florent Bax33c136.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Ilia Simakin72c129.96$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.395664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Florent Bax39c128.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023831.5%75 W · 163 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fe…3f90backed Ilia Simakin64c125.47$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.474641.3%19 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Florent Bax41c120.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6127236%98 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florent Bax10c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,92055.4%1,064 W · 856 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5251…be02backed Florent Bax42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Florent Bax42c117.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7715115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.