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Tennis · resolved market

Lexington: Andres Martin vs Millen Hurrion

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Andres Martinof Andres Martin, Millen Hurrion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9d6…730abacked Millen Hurrion11c54,832$5,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,785.3914043.6%61 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Millen Hurrion34c20,176$6,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,855.4345732.4%148 W · 309 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Millen Hurrion19c15,562$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Millen Hurrion34c4,605$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.981,44742.8%620 W · 827 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andres Martin79c3,752$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.518,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Millen Hurrion13c1,551$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014518.6%27 W · 118 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Millen Hurrion9c1,528$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.611,60624.4%392 W · 1,214 L-41.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Millen Hurrion13c1,422$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8634052.1%177 W · 163 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1adc…b884backed Millen Hurrion7c1,400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944515.6%7 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Andres Martin76c1,005$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.974,80349.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L+174.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Andres Martin49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5109,44444.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L-249.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Andres Martin70c966.8$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.211,12337.2%418 W · 705 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Andres Martin72c711.48$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.982,88247.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L+39.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Andres Martin73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.939055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Andres Martin74c592.7$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9899551.6%513 W · 482 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Millen Hurrion12c583.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc07b…6ee4backed Millen Hurrion32c470.77$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Millen Hurrion8c414$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.125,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…2482backed Millen Hurrion17c343.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.089433%31 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Andres Martin49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Andres Martin76c193.13$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.981,52243.9%668 W · 854 L-26.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Millen Hurrion24c190$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.236,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Millen Hurrion9c165.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.222,92539.6%1,158 W · 1,767 L-85.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Andres Martin71c162.07$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.366,72546.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L-42.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Millen Hurrion12c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31,94744%856 W · 1,091 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Millen Hurrion28c146$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.881,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Andres Martin65c145.26$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.161,39839.1%546 W · 852 L-25.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Millen Hurrion21c141.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.192,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Andres Martin73c137$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9942843.7%187 W · 241 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Andres Martin70c129.71$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.915664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Andres Martin72c124.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8664851.9%336 W · 312 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Andres Martin78c115.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.376,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f3…b21cbacked Andres Martin71c111.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.445468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Millen Hurrion29c111.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2430953.1%164 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32d…23b4backed Millen Hurrion14c100.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0810850.9%55 W · 53 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Millen Hurrion57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5744018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Andres Martin71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291,12152.2%585 W · 536 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Millen Hurrion28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,05847.9%986 W · 1,072 L+16.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Millen Hurrion30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3096645.5%440 W · 526 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Andres Martin70c96.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6561746.2%285 W · 332 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Andres Martin71c96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1725048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Millen Hurrion35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Andres Martin64c82.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9637949.6%188 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Millen Hurrion20c82.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.557736.7%212 W · 365 L-2.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db5…ef2fbacked Andres Martin77c81.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.524163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Andres Martin75c79.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5546064.3%296 W · 164 L+24.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Andres Martin72c69.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4328248.9%138 W · 144 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Andres Martin50c65.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.813,30340.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Andres Martin76c65.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.729149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Millen Hurrion31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012536%45 W · 80 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Millen Hurrion27c63.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.191,85646.8%868 W · 988 L-55.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Andres Martin80c63.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.713,95255.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L+107.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Andres Martin73c60.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4212947.3%61 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Millen Hurrion28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.563537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Millen Hurrion62c56.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.233,75245.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Millen Hurrion19c56.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.611,81546.5%844 W · 971 L-6.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Andres Martin75c53.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.412,07652.9%1,099 W · 977 L+33.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Andres Martin47c51.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0651942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…57adbacked Millen Hurrion24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215152.3%79 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Andres Martin73c41.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3437863%238 W · 140 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163d…7c69backed Millen Hurrion37c40.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7914715.6%23 W · 124 L-32.8wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Andres Martin72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.273045.3%331 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe780…055bbacked Millen Hurrion25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104825%12 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Millen Hurrion35c36.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.863,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Millen Hurrion31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.232,57136.4%937 W · 1,634 L-21.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2039…dad3backed Andres Martin76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.891894.4%17 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick73cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb11a…a5d9backed Andres Martin65c30.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8312748.8%62 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Millen Hurrion40c30.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2945649.8%227 W · 229 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Millen Hurrion51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.345655.3%252 W · 204 L+21.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Andres Martin69c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681,20752.4%633 W · 574 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…4b73backed Andres Martin61c27.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Andres Martin76c26.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.152,11154.2%1,145 W · 966 L+65.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Andres Martin73c24.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6516655.4%92 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Andres Martin69c22.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9218356.3%103 W · 80 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Andres Martin66c21.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3238141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2468…cad2backed Andres Martin79c21.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.439653.1%51 W · 45 L-14.5wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-22.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a29…cd80backed Andres Martin67c21.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c80…814bbacked Andres Martin77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick63cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Andres Martin72c15.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351,02357.9%592 W · 431 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Andres Martin72c15.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.433550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Andres Martin72c15.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3219047.4%90 W · 100 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc0…ee45backed Andres Martin80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.57659.2%45 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.