MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa73955ebdf4e8d95eb2c2211552c6890ca837aa5094c4c12b8005323c102edef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 80,412$41,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,809.87 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 52c | 41,143$21,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,667.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 28,207$7,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,569.59 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Houston Astros | 49c | 21,427$10,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,927.77 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Houston Astros | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Houston Astros | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Houston Astros | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.86 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 6,613$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.48 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 48c | 6,354$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.35 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 6,244$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 5,353$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.26 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 73c | 5,193$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.88 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked San Diego Padres | 5c | 5,097$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 71c | 4,171$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.55 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 74c | 4,070$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Houston Astros | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 3,000$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 2,814$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.35 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 79c | 2,365$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.59 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked San Diego Padres | 5c | 2,087$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Houston Astros | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 1,919$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.59 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 1,916$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 1,894$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.99 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…3a84backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 1,811$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Houston Astros | 74c | 1,455$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.07 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 1,426$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,365$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.17 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 1,364$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 72c | 1,354$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,330$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 1,282$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.18 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Houston Astros | 74c | 1,211$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.9 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,163$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 74c | 1,115$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 1,055$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,045$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.28 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 955.35$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Houston Astros | 75c | 923.41$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 904.3$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.24 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 48c | 819$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.88 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 72c | 800$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked Houston Astros | 77c | 782.27$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 730.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 75c | 724.83$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 699$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.49 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…1082backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 502.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Houston Astros | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Houston Astros | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Houston Astros | 74c | 438.67$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 70c | 431.49$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 398.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 391.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 381.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 334$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 330.17$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.69 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Houston Astros | 58c | 313.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Houston Astros | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 302.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Houston Astros | 46c | 300$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 299.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Houston Astros | 73c | 264.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 262.68$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 260$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Houston Astros | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Houston Astros | 71c | 241.71$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 240.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 234.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 234.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 230.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Houston Astros | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 47c | 204.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Houston Astros | 71c | 201.09$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Houston Astros | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Houston Astros | 76c | 197.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Houston Astros | 65c | 196.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…aeb8backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 189.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Houston Astros | 71c | 187.35$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Houston Astros | 67c | 163.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…8fa3backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 149.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Houston Astros | 69c | 143.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Houston Astros | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 141$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.