Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cea7500c0e73ef7a29ba617aeb7e4d2de3e566a78ab99b75f8f31983e7de5bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 8,420$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 75c | 7,198$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +281.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 4,364$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.72 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 41c | 3,517$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.13 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 68c | 2,920$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 28c | 2,576$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.59 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 42c | 2,100$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 1,281$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.91 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,143$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 1,046$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.28 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 885.36$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.29 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 49c | 817$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 49c | 817$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 38c | 586.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.19 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 50c | 396.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 38c | 335.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 37c | 315.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 260.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 214.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 74c | 197.93$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 25c | 186.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Under | 61c | 168$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Under | 55c | 157.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 43c | 133.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 112.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 87.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 53c | 83.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 75c | 75.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 19c | 60.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 49c | 57.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 46c | 54.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 43c | 46.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Under | 44c | 43.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 25c | 40.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 40c | 39.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…12e6backed Over | 51c | 37.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Under | 48c | 36.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 41c | 30.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 29.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 74c | 26.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 72c | 26.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d31…94acbacked Over | 42c | 24.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 56c | 23.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 67c | 21.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: FC Arouca (-1.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)FC Arouca won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-2.5)FC Arouca won
- Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.