MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1834230745e97fd13fd6417f8e598f6d9b0c02bab0e15ba8838c84284d25b442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $564,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 122,993$71,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,335.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 104,028$43,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,376.44 | 509 | 53.8%274 W · 235 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 31,526$10,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,633.21 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 29,885$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,484.48 | 988 | 49.9%493 W · 495 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 22,004$9,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.03 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 17,006$7,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,160.2 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 16,059$6,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,356.92 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 13,430$7,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,244.8 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 12,192$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.82 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 9,500$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 9,259$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112.16 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 9,155$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.68 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 8,111$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.53 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 6,000$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 4,827$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.67 | 239 | 54.4%130 W · 109 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 4,558$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.26 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 4,427$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.21 | 1,970 | 53.1%1,047 W · 923 L | +45.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 20c | 4,070$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 4,428 | 45.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L | +87.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 3,493$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 3,218$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.32 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 3,135$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.03 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1,083 | 48.1%521 W · 562 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.98 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,723$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.72 | 351 | 55.8%196 W · 155 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 2,447$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 1,894 | 49.3%934 W · 960 L | +24.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 2,306$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.99 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 2,239$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.16 | 370 | 49.2%182 W · 188 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1d…2717backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 2,204$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 2,165$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.58 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 2,145$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.82 | 1,671 | 49.1%820 W · 851 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,114$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.69 | 1,875 | 52.1%976 W · 899 L | +52.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Miami Marlins | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 1,840$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 714 | 44.4%317 W · 397 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 1,796$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.51 | 1,911 | 44.4%848 W · 1,063 L | -29.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 1,740$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.6 | 214 | 36.9%79 W · 135 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 1,601$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.27 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 904 | 53.5%484 W · 420 L | +24.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 1,256$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.59 | 879 | 48%422 W · 457 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Miami Marlins | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,208$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 1,200$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.16 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 1,057$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.64 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 1,045$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.92 | 2,319 | 51.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…7bebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 968.85$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.93 | 525 | 47.4%249 W · 276 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 930.57$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.73 | 929 | 46.1%428 W · 501 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 862.36$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.17 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 815.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.68 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -13.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 745.59$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.21 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 676.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 644.23$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.58 | 630 | 49.2%310 W · 320 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 618.95$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.19 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…6ee4backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 617.56$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 586.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.21 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 877 | 53%465 W · 412 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 489.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 1,822 | 49.2%897 W · 925 L | -25.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 481.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.49 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 477.34$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.76 | 493 | 60.6%299 W · 194 L | +41.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 476$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 1,144 | 46.3%530 W · 614 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 473.86$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.26 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 447.42$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 364 | 53.6%195 W · 169 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 444.83$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 433.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 425.48$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Miami Marlins | 67c | 414.55$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.67 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Miami Marlins | 8c | 405$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Miami Marlins | 25c | 397.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Los Angeles Angels | 80c | 393$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 837 | 42.8%358 W · 479 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 363.65$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 491 | 49.3%242 W · 249 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 952 | 34.3%327 W · 625 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 340.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.26 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 281 | 56.9%160 W · 121 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 338.44$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 1,160 | 42.6%494 W · 666 L | -40.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 331.48$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Miami Marlins | 24c | 325$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 280$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 274.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 271.17$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 265.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 260.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 1,848 | 50.3%930 W · 918 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 260$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 249.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 248.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.