MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef52d53eed615415f36a0a78c94d7a508a0bf951cfaef4d4a6f09322d2c229ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 26,179$12,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,754.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 22,133$11,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,730.66 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 13,103$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 5,042$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Over | 3c | 3,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 3,027$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Over | 3c | 2,200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,578$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 50c | 1,570$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.21 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 1,008$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.29 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 42c | 858.93$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.1 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Under | 45c | 836.27$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.01 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 820.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 701.14$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 659$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.27 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 45c | 643.85$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 47c | 585$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.05 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 371.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 55c | 200.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 47c | 191.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 173.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 37c | 166.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 47c | 134$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 53c | 102.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 29c | 98.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Under | 70c | 97.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 89.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 48c | 70.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 33c | 69.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 46c | 66.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 47c | 60.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 47c | 56.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…12e6backed Under | 45c | 54.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 53.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 45c | 40.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 48c | 33.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 64c | 31.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 60c | 30.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 65c | 27.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 60c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 60c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…4e4fbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 61c | 18.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami MarlinsLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.