Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d05e0fe87c30464af327b033b49d63f001e2399b4f5c709991078ea67329cc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 50c | 5,007$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.88 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 4,930$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.47 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 72c | 3,824$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.5 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,703$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 50c | 2,994$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.23 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 2,594$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.72 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…ba20backed Over | 28c | 1,999$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 1,940$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.86 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 1,832$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.22 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 10c | 1,340$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 49c | 977.86$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.02 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 833.43$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.41 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 49c | 800.31$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Over | 64c | 707.29$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.84 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 8c | 705.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 70c | 562.36$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 18c | 537.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Over | 30c | 503$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Under | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 32c | 414.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 46c | 375.33$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 10c | 356.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 59c | 340.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.91 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 12c | 331.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 27c | 327.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 28c | 269$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 58c | 210$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 11c | 181.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 10c | 174$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 48c | 169.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 51c | 169.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 22c | 165.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 24c | 155.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 14c | 144.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Under | 10c | 139.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 77c | 139.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Under | 59c | 120.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 10c | 119.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Under | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 73c | 116.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 45c | 106.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 98.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 88.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 56c | 78.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 37c | 61.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Over | 66c | 50.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 41c | 49.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 59c | 47.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 33.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 50c | 32.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 42c | 30.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 43c | 25.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 20.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 57c | 19.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: FK Partizan Beograd O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: FK Partizan Beograd O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Partizan Beograd (-1.5)FK Partizan Beograd won
- Spread: FK Partizan Beograd (-2.5)FK Partizan Beograd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.