MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85103a46008451b326ce5cac11e4377e7c06baef3631a6a78e6ddfc593d68a5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Cincinnati Reds, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 52,845$12,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,520.73 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 44,132$22,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,183.49 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 22,888$16,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,362.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 10,719$7,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.31 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 7,660$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.19 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 6,767$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 6,388$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 5,992$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.84 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,766$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 3,500$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.66 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 3,267$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.53 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 2,538$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.69 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 2,228$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,852$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.36 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 1,781$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,767$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.62 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 1,625$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.75 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 1,600$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.1 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,489$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.81 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 1,481$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Washington Nationals | 79c | 1,442$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.02 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 1,251$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.34 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 1,248$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.88 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,147$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.9 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.1 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 891.95$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.83 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 833.42$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 674.2$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 619.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 559.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 489$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 482.2$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.17 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 469$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 362$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 340.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 312.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 303.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…8d59backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 263.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 263.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 251.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 242.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 227.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 220.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 205.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Washington Nationals | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Washington Nationals | 79c | 189.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 187.36$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 175.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 174.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 169.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 167.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 153.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 143.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 137.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…b25bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 135.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 134.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 131.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 127.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 125.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 114.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 106.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 104.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 104.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 98.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 91.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 89.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 86.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 82.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Washington Nationals | 76c | 78.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Washington Nationals | 80c | 67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…4a59backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 60.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.