MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b1255a2ecaeeb43eeead158582e72e7b4081b63afec6b7f5adcfa2ab07e3e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 24,293$10,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,297.83 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.98 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 14,775$6,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,830.74 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 4,527$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.33 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 4,293$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 3,486$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 38c | 3,114$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 2,971$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Under | 68c | 2,750$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.6 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 53c | 2,730$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.73 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…87b5backed Under | 78c | 2,107$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 53c | 1,376$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.18 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 53c | 1,148$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.95 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.95 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 77c | 899$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.77 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 51c | 782$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.82 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 37c | 775.46$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 54c | 766.65$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.11 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 53c | 751.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 53c | 745.36$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.1 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 629.11$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 613.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.42 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 54c | 535.71$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Over | 55c | 392.85$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 361.91$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 54c | 357.14$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 54c | 354.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 292.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 51c | 290.59$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 239.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 230.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 53c | 203.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 54c | 178.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 54c | 178.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 54c | 178.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 54c | 178.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 60c | 169.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 60c | 169.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 14c | 150.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 52c | 148.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 55c | 143.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Over | 55c | 137.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 60c | 131.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 54c | 128.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 127.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 47c | 119.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Over | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 54c | 111.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 53c | 106.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 59c | 95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Over | 51c | 94.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 44c | 92.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…9d1cbacked Over | 54c | 90.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…437fbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 33c | 82.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…391bbacked Over | 54c | 80.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…7593backed Over | 54c | 73.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…4fdcbacked Over | 54c | 72.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…15adbacked Over | 54c | 71.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 52c | 63.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 46c | 62.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 45c | 61.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 56c | 59.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 52c | 58.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 60c | 56.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 53c | 52.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 37c | 50.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…bc38backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…8fa3backed Over | 52c | 46.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 58c | 46.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Over | 51c | 45.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 53c | 45.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 37c | 42.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 47c | 39.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 52c | 39.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.