Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89855481f171fb57c7033579b65972c24790c240b352c5fb4ad456300f1ef147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 15,193$5,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,762.8 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 67c | 13,184$8,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,811.98 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 39c | 12,564$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 10,045$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.69 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 7,348$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.39 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 3,915$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.12 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 74c | 3,633$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 69c | 3,226$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 44c | 2,270$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 60c | 2,153$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.96 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 60c | 1,606$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 68c | 1,485$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 28c | 1,264$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.86 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 43c | 1,254$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.78 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 55c | 895.62$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.48 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 535.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.44 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 45c | 534.67$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…a7c4backed Over | 68c | 484.46$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 56c | 481.95$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 19c | 450$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 417.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 50c | 395.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 70c | 335.13$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 44c | 317.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 45c | 286.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.73 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 72c | 285.83$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 38c | 283$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.38 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 42c | 250.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Over | 48c | 232.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 226.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 13c | 226.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 80c | 211.79$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.43 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 202.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 63c | 195.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed Over | 9c | 181.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Over | 57c | 179.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Over | 58c | 145.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 42c | 134.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 118.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 79c | 87.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 48c | 86.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 35c | 77.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 80c | 77.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 20c | 70.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 59c | 66.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 48c | 66.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 45c | 65.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 44c | 64.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 42c | 63.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 20c | 63.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…3b3fbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 39c | 55.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 44c | 54.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Over | 52c | 47.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…e43dbacked Over | 80c | 47.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…cd80backed Under | 36c | 33.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 41c | 30.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 51c | 30.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…cfedbacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…0ee8backed Over | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 60c | 19.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-2.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: VfL Bochum (-1.5)Hertha BSC won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 0.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.