Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb61bd6d0e488e7faf3fbacd73a30959b9886bb0f1b965d60da54019ed92e1d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 11,359$7,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.18 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 28c | 6,518$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.98 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 35c | 4,042$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.06 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 3,453$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.5 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 61c | 2,131$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 1,957$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.06 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 56c | 1,577$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.52 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 55c | 1,274$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,225$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.22 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 37c | 793.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 55c | 787.8$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.41 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 679.1$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.29 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 555.28$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.89 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 65c | 416.13$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 67c | 368.7$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 43c | 366.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Under | 56c | 357.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 17c | 350.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 66c | 334.73$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 63c | 303.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 65c | 290.14$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 283.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.77 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 67c | 283.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 65c | 279.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Over | 36c | 236.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 75c | 216.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 70c | 204.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 43c | 196.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 194.83$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 55c | 185.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 50c | 174.72$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 57c | 163.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 161.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 51c | 132.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…a0b1backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 51c | 114.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 66c | 109.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 74c | 102.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 68c | 77.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x839a…199fbacked Over | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 62c | 71.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 65c | 67.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…cd80backed Under | 62c | 66.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…0409backed Over | 57c | 55.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 56c | 52.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 44c | 43.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 58c | 39.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 71c | 39.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 39.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…8820backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 78c | 34.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 68c | 30.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 72c | 29.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…582abacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Over | 51c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 71c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Under | 72c | 20.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-2.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: VfL Bochum (-1.5)Hertha BSC won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 0.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.