Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bde749d5924ab19213311136121f668abf54a23852d426c2095bef55599e9cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,179$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.95 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 872.9$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.71 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 716.64$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 39c | 395.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.29 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 301$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 56c | 192$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 191.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 50c | 134.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 58c | 111.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 57c | 106.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 61c | 98.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Yes | 61c | 95.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 61c | 94.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 60c | 90.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 61c | 81.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 57c | 78.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 61c | 76.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 75.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 68.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 70c | 59.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 63c | 53.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 40c | 49.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed No | 54c | 40.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 38.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…582abacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…582abacked Yes | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 56c | 25.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 56c | 21.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Yes | 63c | 20.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: Hertha BSC (-2.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: VfL Bochum (-1.5)Hertha BSC won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 0.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.