South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92421b3194ea5bf3692b0fa1c369cd545cba7455ae5f90d2520bcd51f149a6a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 10,185$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.21 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 33c | 7,106$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 4,073$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.85 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 4,020$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 3,143$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 28c | 2,800$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.09 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 1,455$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 76c | 1,348$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.09 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 20c | 1,040$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 75c | 911.07$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.77 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 80c | 623.34$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 75c | 500$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 14c | 410.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 26c | 367.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 74c | 329.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 67c | 270.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 21c | 259.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Under | 74c | 255.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 73c | 209.14$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 25c | 184.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 26c | 183.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca42…a02abacked Under | 57c | 170.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 25c | 164.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 66c | 151.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 58c | 147$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 70c | 132.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 74c | 131$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Under | 75c | 106.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 65c | 105.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 75c | 101.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 75c | 69.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 74c | 66.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 39c | 64.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 60.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 58c | 59.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Under | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 52.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Over | 31c | 46.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 65c | 35.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Under | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 29.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 75c | 28.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 76c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 80c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 69c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: CD Riestra O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Estudiantes de La Plata O/U 0.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Estudiantes de La Plata O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CD Riestra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.