South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39f80cc252a1f58cb021cd21434a4d97ef6d2d240303af3b57fa54a37023457b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 10,569$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.12 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 10,089$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.32 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 3,643$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…0bf0backed Under | 12c | 2,917$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 14cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…3ac6backed Under | 11c | 2,618$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 54c | 2,500$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.14 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,468$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 58c | 1,193$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.23 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 1,040$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.09 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 50c | 1,026$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 898.07$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.12 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 6c | 710.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 654.15$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 48c | 642.99$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.64 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b2…4bfcbacked Under | 3c | 621.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 37c | 512$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 13c | 283$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Under | 37c | 262.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Under | 37c | 186$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 30c | 171.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 47c | 132.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 37c | 105.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 37c | 94.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 59c | 78.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 37c | 68.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 47c | 67.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 29c | 64.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 59.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Over | 71c | 56.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 54.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 33c | 50.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 49c | 45.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 32c | 44.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 40.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 40.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 37c | 36.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Over | 53c | 36.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 43c | 35.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 48c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 64c | 20.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Over | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 67c | 17.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 65c | 16.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Over | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: CD Riestra O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Estudiantes de La Plata O/U 0.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Estudiantes de La Plata O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CD Riestra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.