Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda4dc4d8b45b4b5b2af3c5c897ade3e4b089a31129c8b78e83e78cadaf771878
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 8,533$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.92 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 41c | 4,500$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.98 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 33c | 4,176$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 3,756$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.81 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 24c | 2,699$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 1,660$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.95 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 72c | 1,387$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 862.02$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.16 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 856.15$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.13 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 67c | 775.35$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 27c | 686.67$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.3 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 651.1$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.04 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 38c | 623.25$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.48 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 63c | 523.81$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.81 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 57c | 448.6$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.22 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 425$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 74c | 420.67$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.3 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 50c | 385.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…88c1backed Over | 66c | 312.03$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 49c | 285.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 55c | 252.06$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Over | 54c | 226.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…b32ebacked Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 56c | 188.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 55c | 182.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Over | 56c | 177.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 172.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…f722backed Over | 57c | 171.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 168.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 58c | 164.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 156.62$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 137.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Under | 75c | 130.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 128$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 13c | 114.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Under | 75c | 105.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 48c | 93.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 22c | 92.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +324.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 62c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 56c | 81.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 21c | 70.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 47c | 48.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 409 | 42.1%172 W · 237 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Over | 43c | 41.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 38.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…eedbbacked Under | 29c | 37.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6199…2852backed Under | 43c | 35.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 32c | 34.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 58c | 33.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 62c | 33.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 42c | 29.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…cd80backed Under | 53c | 27.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 27.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 24.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 271 | 51.7%140 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 59c | 24.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 66c | 20.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 51c | 19.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Wrexham AFC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.