Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9b4785e8371bd00fc2bb1c445ab7bc8ec1658949ec3192b409fa5a304e48d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 19c | 1,471$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.48 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 684.66$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Under | 76c | 657.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 79c | 532.35$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 513$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.89 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 57c | 470.04$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 429.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.77 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 288.1$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.69 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under | 55c | 241.76$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 55c | 209.55$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 197.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 19c | 103.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 52c | 93.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 46c | 59.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 43c | 49.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 74c | 43.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 37.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 30.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 52c | 28.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 74c | 28.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 73c | 18.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 72c | 13.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Wrexham AFC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.