Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e8db719bd06264b5950a7910120ce7ac316f14845841af2502041fdbb8bb12a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wrexham AFCof Middlesbrough FC, Wrexham AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Middlesbrough FC | 26c | 7,520$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.76 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 5,478$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Middlesbrough FC | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 459.42$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Wrexham AFC | 76c | 327$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 202.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 202.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 201.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Middlesbrough FC | 18c | 169.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Wrexham AFC | 76c | 146.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 137.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 129.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 129.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Wrexham AFC | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Wrexham AFC | 75c | 57.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Wrexham AFC | 77c | 57.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Wrexham AFC | 77c | 54.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 50.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Wrexham AFC | 76c | 47.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Wrexham AFC | 76c | 38.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…91b2backed Wrexham AFC | 69c | 37.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 34.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Wrexham AFC | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Wrexham AFC | 74c | 33.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…9858backed Wrexham AFC | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Wrexham AFC | 73c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Wrexham AFC | 78c | 23.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…370fbacked Wrexham AFC | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…cd80backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Wrexham AFC | 75c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Wrexham AFC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.