Tennis · resolved market
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe263d315febe438b05b6d8fe484ace66cd35cd88387dbaa02c3029268b2bac6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivan Marreroof Ivan Marrero, Maks Kasnikowski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Ivan Marrero | 21c | 43,468$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,468.19 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Ivan Marrero | 15c | 13,672$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,672.5 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ivan Marrero | 29c | 11,159$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,974.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Ivan Marrero | 64c | 9,531$6,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.9 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Ivan Marrero | 73c | 5,533$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.95 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Maks Kasnikowski | 25c | 5,189$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.07 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Maks Kasnikowski | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maks Kasnikowski | 67c | 4,344$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.1 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…1ad4backed Maks Kasnikowski | 55c | 3,944$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.98 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maks Kasnikowski | 53c | 3,537$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Ivan Marrero | 73c | 3,258$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.07 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ivan Marrero | 42c | 2,404$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.56 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Ivan Marrero | 1c | 2,236$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.58 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Ivan Marrero | 77c | 1,612$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.6 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…c9d0backed Ivan Marrero | 76c | 1,585$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Ivan Marrero | 77c | 1,328$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ivan Marrero | 72c | 882.77$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Ivan Marrero | 24c | 850.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.28 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed Ivan Marrero | 73c | 850$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 715.09$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.93 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Ivan Marrero | 77c | 651.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Maks Kasnikowski | 51c | 552.78$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.13 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Ivan Marrero | 73c | 540.48$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Ivan Marrero | 20c | 462.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.11 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Ivan Marrero | 73c | 445.75$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Ivan Marrero | 12c | 405.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Ivan Marrero | 5c | 378.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.29 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Ivan Marrero | 19c | 373.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.21 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Ivan Marrero | 4c | 357.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.36 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaba…a214backed Ivan Marrero | 74c | 354.09$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Ivan Marrero | 76c | 330.46$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ivan Marrero | 69c | 312.21$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maks Kasnikowski | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Ivan Marrero | 32c | 281.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.36 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Maks Kasnikowski | 72c | 276.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ivan Marrero | 17c | 258.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.33 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ivan Marrero | 28c | 253.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Ivan Marrero | 20c | 220.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed Ivan Marrero | 29c | 213.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Ivan Marrero | 76c | 206.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 189 | 68.8%130 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Ivan Marrero | 27c | 204.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…d87cbacked Ivan Marrero | 78c | 202.03$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Ivan Marrero | 16c | 200$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ivan Marrero | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Ivan Marrero | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ivan Marrero | 74c | 194.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Ivan Marrero | 55c | 175.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Ivan Marrero | 28c | 164$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae95…38fbbacked Ivan Marrero | 73c | 163.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…daa3backed Ivan Marrero | 17c | 148.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Maks Kasnikowski | 75c | 147.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…9a38backed Ivan Marrero | 28c | 141.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +56%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maks Kasnikowski | 72c | 138.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ivan Marrero | 74c | 129.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Ivan Marrero | 71c | 129$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -25.1wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 60c | 125.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Ivan Marrero | 73c | 120.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Maks Kasnikowski | 73c | 112.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 79c | 110.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Ivan Marrero | 73c | 101.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Ivan Marrero | 36c | 100.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Ivan Marrero | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Ivan Marrero | 73c | 94.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Ivan Marrero | 18c | 85.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Maks Kasnikowski | 58c | 83.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 80c | 76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ivan Marrero | 74c | 71.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Ivan Marrero | 28c | 70.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ivan Marrero | 74c | 67.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…ecb1backed Maks Kasnikowski | 73c | 66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Ivan Marrero | 74c | 65.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…055bbacked Ivan Marrero | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Ivan Marrero | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Ivan Marrero | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Maks Kasnikowski | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Maks Kasnikowski | 78c | 55.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Ivan Marrero | 47c | 51.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Ivan Marrero | 22c | 51.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Ivan Marrero | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…e363backed Ivan Marrero | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0724backed Maks Kasnikowski | 69c | 46.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Maks Kasnikowski | 45c | 44.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 58c | 43.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Maks Kasnikowski | 80c | 43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Ivan Marrero | 42c | 39.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Maks Kasnikowski | 76c | 30.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…5005backed Maks Kasnikowski | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…6e04backed Maks Kasnikowski | 69c | 29.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Ivan Marrero | 42c | 27.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…9a4cbacked Ivan Marrero | 74c | 27.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 58c | 25.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ivan Marrero | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Maks Kasnikowski | 76c | 24.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Maks Kasnikowski | 65c | 21.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Ivan Marrero | 73c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Maks Kasnikowski | 73c | 20.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Ivan Marrero | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Maks Kasnikowski | 73c | 17.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maks Kasnikowski | 78c | 16.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowskithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Marrero vs KasnikowskiKasnikowski won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.