TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0139…ecb1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2982.8%24 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,697Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,783.84
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,577Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$800.06
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$345.45
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.78
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,608Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$1,274.19
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.07
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$555.29
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$100.72
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,774Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$457.37
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.25
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$21.15
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,255.54
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$20.1
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$304.81
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$723
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$465.3
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$395.34
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44%+$368.31
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$15.51
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+32%+$171.38
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$71.08
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$24.48
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$19.35
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$34.14
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41%+$140.77
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$7.25
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.51
Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevezbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.26
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.41
Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$30.11
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Nadia Podoroskabacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+42%+$35.19
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.81
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,176.73
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.19
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$65.39
Zug: Thomas Faurel vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$47.82
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.37
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$23.67
Kitzbuehel: Erika Andreeva vs Mia Risticbacked Erika Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$101.6
Bogota: Alex Hernandez vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$57.68
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$143.86
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Cristina Bucsabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.49
Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$59.54
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$127.91
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$68.53
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$65.22
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$51.05
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$138.59
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.18
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$54.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.47
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.56
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26%+$55.07
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$42.29
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+28%+$55.47
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$44.96
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$103.26
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$24.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$11.67
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.32
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26%+$329.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+62%+$7.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+39%+$56.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,692Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33%+$557.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$9.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Douglas Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.