World Politics · resolved market
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9711f881f44c8965ad7c849fd9b441fa7eb6e5606f913b376e317b77a53b0fa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1200…aaf4backed No | 3c | 18,294$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 63c | 14,095$8,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,164.78 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 75c | 13,509$10,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.08 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 60c | 6,865$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.64 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 78c | 6,547$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.61 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 24c | 5,003$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.95 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…4d49backed Yes | 72c | 4,907$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 61c | 4,627$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.84 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 71c | 4,233$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.86 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 72c | 3,565$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.21 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…196abacked No | 27c | 3,130$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 78c | 3,006$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…63d2backed Yes | 60c | 2,963$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 76c | 2,842$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.28 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 64c | 2,388$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.95 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,849$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfe…5181backed No | 19c | 1,817$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 71c | 1,534$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.94 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.49 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked No | 31c | 1,400$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 61c | 1,339$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,192$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.43 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920f…ba6fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,118$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 38c | 1,108$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.19 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 60c | 1,063$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.48 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 16c | 911.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63eb…d3a6backed No | 1c | 872.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed Yes | 23c | 856.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed No | 48c | 850$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 24c | 837.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.79 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb02…df7cbacked Yes | 61c | 817.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 35c | 800$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.55 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 35c | 764.04$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.31 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Yes | 74c | 709.81$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 60c | 704.35$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.46 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 647.19$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…e932backed Yes | 21c | 634.66$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 73c | 616.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed Yes | 72c | 600$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +92%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 10c | 560.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked Yes | 70c | 557.6$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 76c | 509.99$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 28c | 500$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.94 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 28c | 499.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 30c | 497.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.7 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 75c | 471.19$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 74c | 450.61$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 18c | 440$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 370.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed Yes | 10c | 367.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 26c | 366.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed No | 20c | 348.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…5571backed Yes | 58c | 345.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…1269backed Yes | 60c | 343.84$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 27c | 332.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 19c | 316.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 65c | 309.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…da91backed Yes | 5c | 288.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 17c | 287.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 28c | 285$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes | 31c | 257$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x094f…8796backed Yes | 75c | 256.86$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Yes | 30c | 250$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed Yes | 59c | 238.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes | 49c | 235.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…6b75backed Yes | 21c | 234$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…28bdbacked Yes | 8c | 230.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +239.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…c4d1backed Yes | 65c | 202.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…7e7cbacked No | 28c | 201.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 69c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…565cbacked Yes | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 75c | 195.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…2e5ebacked Yes | 78c | 192.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed Yes | 42c | 179.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 28c | 179.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed No | 35c | 178.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 40c | 176.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…30fabacked Yes | 19c | 173.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 39c | 167.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 166$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 24c | 166$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9f…c209backed Yes | 78c | 153.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4e…2b46backed Yes | 64c | 151.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 64c | 151.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f0…dca2backed Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 49c | 145.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab66…6a52backed Yes | 79c | 144.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 138.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…0e0cbacked No | 36c | 138.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Yes | 25c | 132.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 24c | 132.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…54febacked Yes | 59c | 129$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked No | 18c | 126.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd245…2318backed Yes | 9c | 120.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 119.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 31c | 113.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed Yes | 57c | 113.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 67c | 109.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 26c | 108.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…9062backed Yes | 35c | 107.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will George Forsyth finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will José Luna finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Chiabra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.