TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe373…3736

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: UFC, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 63 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Bieber" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the announcers say "Giants" or "Jets" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the announcers say "Zlatan" or "Ibrahimovic" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$330
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.92
Will the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.6
Will Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$57.7
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Latvia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-62.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.75
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.38
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$612
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$450
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$22.18
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.18
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.38
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.2
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.05
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$54.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$414
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$105
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.57
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$55.63
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$159.32
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$57.44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.97
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$464
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$316.65
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+325.5%+$38.25
Will Sonny Styles be drafted 4th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.4
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs against All authority (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked against All authority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+75.7%+$8.62
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.93
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.15
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Joanderson Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.93
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.81
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.51
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.07
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+191.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+248.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+248.4%+$285.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kuopion PS win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.