Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4189b27c8bf7048036e18db654f56b6bbbc57edbed3b8a9a501c0c6a777d0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 43c | 5,058$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.33 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 47c | 3,724$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.86 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,386$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.94 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 59c | 800.87$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.07 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 799.37$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.29 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 63c | 725$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.16 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 41c | 633.8$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.7 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 599.65$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.73 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 46c | 520.04$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 55c | 512.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.01 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 59c | 470.5$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.32 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 467.4$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.09 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 61c | 443.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.29 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 49c | 442.89$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 48c | 435.43$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.82 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…3925backed Yes | 60c | 424.72$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 45c | 400.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.11 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 43c | 354.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…c8f9backed Yes | 48c | 310.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 302$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 39c | 274.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 46c | 269.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 248$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 43c | 246.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 62c | 192.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 55c | 192.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 55c | 187.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 11c | 187.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…547dbacked No | 31c | 178$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 45c | 158.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 41c | 158.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 63c | 154.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 54c | 152.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 145.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 16c | 143.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 49c | 142$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 44c | 141.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 44c | 141.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 50c | 139.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 39c | 135.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 60c | 133.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 39c | 129.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…0606backed No | 44c | 126.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 121$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 41c | 105$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Yes | 60c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 85.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 36c | 84.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 50c | 78.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 60c | 78.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 45c | 78.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 40c | 69.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 57c | 69.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 43c | 62.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 42c | 59.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 51c | 58.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed Yes | 20c | 56.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 39c | 54.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 41c | 50.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed Yes | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 38c | 49.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462f…fb33backed Yes | 49c | 44.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 49c | 36.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 33.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 59c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Yes | 57c | 28.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b5…c585backed No | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…bd3cbacked Yes | 54c | 26.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 49c | 26.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 56c | 24.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…329ebacked Yes | 60c | 23.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 58c | 22.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 77c | 21.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 80c | 21.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.