Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1d3beead7142f2500c44fd9670a437af4c4bec8624a01b64ae9772cbecefd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 55c | 2,720$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.81 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 46c | 2,184$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.83 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 36c | 1,032$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.16 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 38c | 984.32$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.88 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 64c | 720.04$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.85 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 30c | 653.03$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.84 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 46c | 645.66$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.67 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 624.71$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.2 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 48c | 416.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.42 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 403.34$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.71 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 399.43$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 29c | 352.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 329.71$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…3925backed No | 69c | 320.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.39 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 302$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked No | 51c | 245.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 49c | 238.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 56c | 231.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 59c | 231.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 71c | 222.9$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 23c | 216.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 69c | 214.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 33c | 212.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked No | 63c | 188.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 29c | 186.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 13c | 183.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 174.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 36c | 171.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 48c | 170$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 46c | 163$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 158.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 58c | 158.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 156$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 55c | 151.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 61c | 146.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 56c | 145.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac0…0cebbacked Yes | 47c | 141.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 55c | 139.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7a…1a97backed Yes | 30c | 133.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 34c | 129.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked No | 65c | 118$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 47c | 105.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…f21fbacked Yes | 47c | 101.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 98.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 46c | 95.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed No | 22c | 80.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 73.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 76c | 70.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 42c | 68.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 34c | 66.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 61.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd086…7bc1backed Yes | 42c | 56.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 56c | 55.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 64c | 53.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 52.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 63c | 52.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 32c | 51.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 32c | 51.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…d63cbacked No | 60c | 50.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 50.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 56c | 50.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…d217backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…ab27backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 62c | 49.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 47.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 45.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 39c | 38.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…6dcebacked No | 61c | 38.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 73c | 38.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 37.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 47c | 37.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 56c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 33.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 56c | 31.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d3…5122backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 58c | 28.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 38c | 27.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b5…c585backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 43c | 26.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.