TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c7a…1a97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Commodities, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$735.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.68
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.87
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+247.7%+$379.92
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.88
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.86
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.67
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+165.2%+$191.5
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.41
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$82.91
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$366.07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$774.23
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$156.72
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$157.34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$278.06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$40.56
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+279.7%+$82.64
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.84
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+236.3%+$93.92
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.67
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+300.3%+$35.07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.37
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.49
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$711.16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$32.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$117.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+193%+$742.03
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$25.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$60.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.26
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+36%+$68.78
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.84
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$496.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$389.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.