Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd128766ef3f9b7fff7250525302a09d23093df84a6c06dd088edb2578b58e3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 326.05$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 50c | 198.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 43c | 192.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 40c | 167.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 40c | 167.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 76c | 151.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 147.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 25c | 143.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7a…1a97backed Yes | 28c | 142.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 139.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 27c | 139$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 55c | 136$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 23c | 123.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 74c | 115.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 43c | 114.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…13f4backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 22c | 105.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 103.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 13c | 101.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 35c | 99.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 37c | 97.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 170 | 25.3%43 W · 127 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 68c | 92.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 51c | 79.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c0…22b4backed Yes | 32c | 78.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 48c | 78.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 68c | 69.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 33c | 58.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…844dbacked No | 77c | 56.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 128 | 76.6%98 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 37c | 54.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 78c | 47.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 44c | 44.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 34c | 40.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 37.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 33.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 60c | 32.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 74c | 30.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 51c | 29.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 78c | 28.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 61c | 25.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 50c | 20.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…d4c3backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 78c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 79c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 75c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.