Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f663c4a482115f17637a6cf049345ec73541a74ca4c8cfc9a0269afd271c300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 378.07$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.67 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 373.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.52 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 43c | 301$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 210.44$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 187.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 66c | 162.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 37c | 149.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 104$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 66c | 101.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 37c | 90.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 87.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 72c | 87.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 64c | 86.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 64c | 86.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 86.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 33c | 78.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 54c | 72.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 41c | 68.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 36c | 67.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…3e25backed Yes | 62c | 62.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 29c | 59.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…47d0backed Yes | 63c | 57.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 71c | 53.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 22c | 50.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 39c | 49.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 66c | 45.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 44.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…647bbacked Yes | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 51c | 43.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…791ebacked No | 68c | 42.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 36c | 37.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…ff9fbacked No | 73c | 36.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 32c | 36.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…6c00backed Yes | 29c | 36.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 33.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 62c | 32.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 38c | 32.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffc…594fbacked Yes | 33c | 32.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 32c | 31.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Yes | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 65c | 29.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 51c | 27.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 40c | 27.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 42c | 26.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f9febacked Yes | 42c | 25.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 52c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…8993backed No | 73c | 22.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed No | 59c | 17.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 173 | 61.8%107 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 67c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…1986backed No | 68c | 14.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.