Commodities · resolved market

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9e762800da14030767069cd499cb03e6f117cf36a1477c034e0085a6d1aef50

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $92,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,803 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	34c	8,545$2,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,893.09	930	40.3%375 W · 555 L	-67.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed No	64c	5,628$3,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,011.85	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc4…6770backed No	74c	3,732$2,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.88	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	1c	3,701$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	293	4.1%12 W · 281 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b3…4484backed No	57c	3,552$2,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,521.41	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	10c	3,384$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.21	345	34.5%119 W · 226 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,845$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.58	1,024	9.1%93 W · 931 L	-25.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c33…ab72backed Yes	5c	2,722$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.14	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	2,542$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.11	222	1.4%3 W · 219 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Yes	36c	2,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes	38c	1,483$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.81	1,265	24.5%310 W · 955 L	-56.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes	4c	1,422$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.17	199	23.1%46 W · 153 L	+12.5wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes	3c	1,373$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.38	124	6.5%8 W · 116 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes	19c	1,290$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.1	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	1c	1,197$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	73	8.2%6 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Yes	18c	1,190$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.34	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.21per pick	52cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes	14c	905.4$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.98	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa656…2c73backed No	64c	781$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.53	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	39c	707.62$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.03	353	34%120 W · 233 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	30c	621.69$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.01	308	39.6%122 W · 186 L	-17.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdac5…ae24backed Yes	51c	618.71$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.42	198	55.6%110 W · 88 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	11c	612.44$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.24	97	9.3%9 W · 88 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	48c	579.1$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.81	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked No	49c	550.03$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.51	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	78c	543.99$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.5	144	29.9%43 W · 101 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	148	49.3%73 W · 75 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked No	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	50	70%35 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd88…4037backed No	68c	444.28$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.17	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-4.3wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-42%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x803b…b1d4backed Yes	34c	400$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…0f10backed Yes	34c	400$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed Yes	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9752…8087backed No	51c	335.43$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.36	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b83…f42dbacked Yes	41c	330.16$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.29	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f05…8b8bbacked No	58c	312$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.04	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c7a…1a97backed Yes	42c	302.77$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.16	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	36c	301.43$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.51	390	34.4%134 W · 256 L	-33.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1464…8748backed Yes	35c	300.18$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.06	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1914…36f9backed No	51c	298.73$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.38	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	60cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d44…3bc0backed No	69c	289.86$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.86	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1137…4ed5backed Yes	35c	285.95$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05ba…3e90backed No	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d97…d127backed Yes	34c	200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	48c	200$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc7…f5f4backed No	56c	196.43$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.43	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1a…4089backed Yes	50c	194.6$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95d…b2a1backed No	79c	190.17$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.17	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1929…346bbacked Yes	13c	169.2$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5e…ff63backed No	57c	166.78$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.31	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5805…00c8backed Yes	50c	164.72$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dba…d397backed Yes	8c	157$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	19cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc91…1a88backed No	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Yes	31c	150$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-6.5wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	+289%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Yes	38c	149.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x510b…da8dbacked No	72c	147.38$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf418…b2ccbacked No	71c	141.72$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.72	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x456b…f55ebacked Yes	43c	132.93$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	18c	121.02$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.63	1,045	34.6%362 W · 683 L	-93.1wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf85…d62ebacked Yes	48c	112.5$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	71c	110$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes	29c	107$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.03	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab5…4bddbacked Yes	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a3…ec81backed No	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-4.7wins	-0.25per pick	56cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x304b…a619backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.5	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…1d93backed Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed No	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	80	51.3%41 W · 39 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3f9…781bbacked No	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x907c…23c1backed Yes	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-8.0wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb83…42d5backed No	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.5	109	67%73 W · 36 L	+12.5wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd56d…12a9backed Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…7d86backed No	50c	99.24$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.62	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d65…da6ebacked No	69c	80.28$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.28	38	73.7%28 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	64cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No	49c	75.18$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.04	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	30c	72.18$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	184	40.2%74 W · 110 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83e…5ce3backed Yes	48c	70.83$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x663f…5e71backed No	58c	70.8$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.74	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed No	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95e…8c7bbacked Yes	45c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa351…fb7cbacked Yes	42c	70$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…b306backed No	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc7…6176backed Yes	32c	62.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63b8…cf6cbacked Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked No	80c	60$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-10.8wins	-0.26per pick	45cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.83	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Yes	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a08…cce8backed Yes	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39ca…ce0abacked Yes	42c	59.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed No	77c	58.55$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.58	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+4.6wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f13…ca9abacked Yes	50c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7570…ffc0backed Yes	49c	54.58$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes	26c	54.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6de8…9f9bbacked Yes	50c	54$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	66cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	40c	53.22$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.23	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-11.1wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8709…930dbacked Yes	36c	52$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed No	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…2807backed No	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47d…2ad1backed Yes	34c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa72a…7825backed Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd059…4bd5backed Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.38per pick	52cpaid	-73%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4eaa…44eebacked No	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…1765backed Yes	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+50%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?this page
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?Yes won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?Yes won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?Yes won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?Yes won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,700 in May?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event