Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21109896dd6e5dd409b601a0a3b898c1de5c9937879099c86d642d00490acef0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 8c | 5,189$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…be7ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,506$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,471$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…f998backed Yes | 16c | 2,654$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 18cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed Yes | 6c | 2,390$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 8c | 2,130$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 10c | 1,671$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,339$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 19c | 1,191$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.24 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 4c | 1,154$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 16c | 1,152$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…9220backed Yes | 19c | 1,051$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…fa49backed Yes | 8c | 980.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 24c | 806.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 8c | 792.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 9c | 791.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…ab72backed Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…17febacked Yes | 5c | 760.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes | 6c | 623.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 21c | 598$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 17c | 566.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 5c | 557.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…1158backed Yes | 14c | 527.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 17c | 490.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 25c | 481.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 2c | 457.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 19c | 442.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…49a7backed Yes | 24c | 424.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 418.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…c11abacked Yes | 7c | 414.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 401.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed No | 77c | 400.23$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 76c | 394.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 17c | 349.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes | 14c | 325.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed Yes | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f344backed No | 77c | 275.71$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 10c | 269.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked Yes | 23c | 263.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…12a9backed Yes | 15c | 244.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed Yes | 18c | 242.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 242.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…1817backed Yes | 19c | 235.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 10c | 227.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…e9fcbacked Yes | 17c | 220.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ce…aec5backed Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…6898backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed Yes | 14c | 196.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…ea2abacked Yes | 14c | 175.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 79c | 172.8$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 9c | 156.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…01bbbacked Yes | 15c | 151$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd7…452cbacked Yes | 16c | 148.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 11c | 144.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 107.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…dc61backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 76c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 18c | 94.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…44eebacked No | 79c | 86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…b8d2backed Yes | 15c | 82.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 14c | 77.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…c199backed Yes | 21c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +12.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…3b52backed Yes | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4456…e35abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31f…0d1dbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb9…badebacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…10d7backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…4e46backed No | 77c | 31.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1773…8c09backed No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +289%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…8782backed No | 80c | 22.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?this page
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,700 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.