Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb28bbb46015aec3ec6784b4bcd9e4b500ba1dffbc9efd57e0052f3c0e109485b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 5c | 10,513$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…d23abacked Yes | 4c | 2,240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ef…8c52backed Yes | 5c | 2,008$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 1,881$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4abacked Yes | 5c | 1,619$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…9e46backed Yes | 6c | 1,339$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…4532backed Yes | 6c | 1,276$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,211$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…2957backed Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…3282backed Yes | 5c | 1,090$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96cf…2ecebacked Yes | 5c | 1,052$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 5c | 1,048$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Yes | 5c | 999.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 5c | 983.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 4c | 977.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe40…3068backed Yes | 6c | 836.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…aeacbacked Yes | 6c | 827.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 4c | 697.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 4c | 697.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…dc22backed Yes | 4c | 693.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77c…ad9bbacked Yes | 7c | 691.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 5c | 658.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0f…fc09backed Yes | 4c | 652.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b1…7da1backed Yes | 4c | 581.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed Yes | 6c | 544.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…fa20backed Yes | 4c | 529.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…5dc2backed Yes | 4c | 508.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 5c | 485.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…7f21backed Yes | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…7181backed Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d8…b4fbbacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…119bbacked Yes | 5c | 392.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…5c5cbacked Yes | 5c | 375.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…e29fbacked Yes | 4c | 373.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…482bbacked Yes | 5c | 371.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…b6afbacked Yes | 6c | 350.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…3264backed Yes | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 4c | 340.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 9c | 326.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…6327backed Yes | 6c | 323.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…f3c5backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 6c | 283.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 5c | 279.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7a…1a97backed Yes | 6c | 276.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…ed95backed Yes | 6c | 272.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Yes | 6c | 269.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes | 4c | 266.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…ddb9backed Yes | 4c | 258.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…0c0cbacked Yes | 6c | 240.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8872…5f19backed Yes | 5c | 239.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…8581backed Yes | 5c | 238.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1164…01d3backed Yes | 4c | 232.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Yes | 4c | 230$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 5c | 230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…d090backed Yes | 4c | 227.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…f2adbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9336…362ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…d1b7backed Yes | 6c | 174.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…885cbacked Yes | 19c | 162.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…48ebbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 9c | 120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Yes | 16c | 116.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf5…bf81backed Yes | 12c | 107.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 20c | 104.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 76c | 13.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.