Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x533dde3419aa4e514ba9d7348d2a53b9b16d56982c7fb2794c3bcd4323c95729
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 3c | 17,338$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Yes | 3c | 3,392$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…acbabacked Yes | 3c | 2,353$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabec…2e2ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,794$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…efdebacked Yes | 3c | 1,793$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…575cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 2c | 1,322$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…735fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,291$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…646cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,194$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…7ca4backed Yes | 2c | 1,134$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 2c | 1,115$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +2,882.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…8a90backed Yes | 2c | 1,113$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…f454backed Yes | 3c | 1,069$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…ed95backed Yes | 3c | 1,061$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…e25fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,053$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…7c71backed Yes | 3c | 940.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…190dbacked Yes | 3c | 828$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 730.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…1558backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…5252backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…0afebacked Yes | 3c | 603.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 3c | 576.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 2c | 531.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…653ebacked Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 4c | 380.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.28 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed No | 4c | 375$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 4cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…b8f3backed Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 11c | 120$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc80…cebabacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…70d9backed No | 78c | 23.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.