TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes9c11,000$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.5850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c4,595$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2187531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes9c3,418$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.634918.4%9 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x124c…7f95backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes9c2,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Yes9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Yes9c1,257$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…7ae1backed Yes9c1,161$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+132.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bfa…d23abacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84e0…e90dbacked Yes9c1,076$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6885…4c50backed Yes10c1,005$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…916fbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36c…6b40backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…b591backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebf…f3c5backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes9c847.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.415722.8%13 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Yes10c780$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No79c680.58$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.49262%57 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb99e…e7a7backed Yes9c657.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf90…41f0backed Yes9c631.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe2…2957backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…539dbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b0…dc22backed Yes9c555.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c2…ad90backed Yes9c551.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+122.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes10c522.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-67.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96cf…2ecebacked Yes9c517.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d5…92dfbacked Yes10c516.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc244…ea3bbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbf4…4fe5backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd8…d4e7backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d8…c0e6backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77c…ad9bbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a3…0a49backed Yes12c499.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe078…0de5backed Yes11c466.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403070%21 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…a088backed Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee94…af89backed Yes12c427.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb621…a47abacked Yes11c415.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018334.4%63 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed Yes9c360$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a70…d019backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dee…03b0backed Yes10c300.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8969…2cabbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aef…ee3abacked Yes8c299.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Yes10c299.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2950…5dc2backed Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9be…b6afbacked Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2590%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9d8…b4fbbacked Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-79.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes9c266.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246538.5%25 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff2…9791backed Yes9c244.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes10c240$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-74.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x363c…3786backed Yes9c233.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bb…b5d1backed Yes14c225.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b22…7f21backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72b…6834backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e5…49dcbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Yes9c211.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e17…5c5cbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a70…6641backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201010%1 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5c…6b24backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9134…bed9backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1870%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes10c199.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.931020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes9c175.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.812025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+241.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0788…c287backed Yes9c170$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x578f…589ebacked Yes24c168.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+62%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4907…cdc2backed Yes9c167.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b46…95b2backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86d…f572backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15110%0 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-79.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd09…3264backed Yes9c166$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74d4…8fcdbacked Yes17c165$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd313…6ae4backed Yes10c158.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5e…885cbacked Yes35c156.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Yes9c155.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…4683backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-79%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8568…3801backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084c…7544backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd69…c1a9backed Yes10c149.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Yes9c147.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.243839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e86…b58abacked Yes10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-70.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd373…409dbacked Yes10c139.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes11c136.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.382657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.