Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9780de330b75c32ef3aa02f3a5d959e74c338f5c598376a4a4a5f7084aac2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 11c | 3,368$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 10c | 3,100$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x124c…7f95backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…393cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,829$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…cbe2backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…9f17backed Yes | 11c | 1,296$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…fd37backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 12c | 1,242$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 1,065$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a088backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 9c | 999.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 982.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 11c | 850$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…916fbacked Yes | 12c | 835.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9c…28d5backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 12c | 550$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…638abacked Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…a2febacked Yes | 11c | 463.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…45c0backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 10c | 430$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…5252backed Yes | 12c | 425$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…f038backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6645…9ebcbacked Yes | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 11c | 356.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 11c | 308.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…965ebacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Yes | 21c | 240.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…e33ebacked Yes | 11c | 233.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa0…ecb0backed Yes | 10c | 209.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 9c | 202.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecac…fe5abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc80…cebabacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…b26bbacked Yes | 42c | 192.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…40c5backed Yes | 11c | 190$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…219bbacked Yes | 10c | 174.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8779…0f74backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 76c | 140.23$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…a52fbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf686…bb58backed Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d4…8fcdbacked Yes | 16c | 109.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…c9febacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25f…084cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…5e53backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…a1c0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…a47abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…b0bfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…8e0bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…557abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caa…b7dabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…6ae4backed Yes | 11c | 97.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Yes | 15c | 79.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 26c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed No | 80c | 70.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…9cd8backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…f450backed Yes | 31c | 64.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…2941backed Yes | 35c | 60.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed Yes | 24c | 60.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…fd7cbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…bc01backed Yes | 26c | 50.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…027ebacked Yes | 21c | 50.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…1d5ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 74c | 34.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.