Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31ebe79ea1cf68fd4b337dd731993d5f7bbecacfeb2faa8d73035cc780240a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6682…e547backed Yes | 7c | 2,259$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 6c | 2,215$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…393cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,595$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 1,575$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 6c | 1,536$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,187$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 6c | 1,166$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f08…b729backed Yes | 6c | 719.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…835dbacked Yes | 6c | 674.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…08acbacked Yes | 6c | 503.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6645…9ebcbacked Yes | 18c | 399.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…5252backed Yes | 6c | 312.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 79c | 269.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…f3c5backed Yes | 8c | 266.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 7c | 246.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 8c | 228.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…9043backed Yes | 6c | 208.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…bc01backed Yes | 29c | 121.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 21c | 119.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…d134backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 66c | 86.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…dcabbacked Yes | 21c | 56.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.