Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e4b82e806481f91a4659f495805853f12e993d3107c2c983f7252bfa4428727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9e…9f17backed Yes | 9c | 2,262$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124c…7f95backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd342…49d3backed Yes | 9c | 2,160$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…cbe2backed Yes | 8c | 1,800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…ee94backed Yes | 8c | 1,178$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 891.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 10c | 690.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…5252backed Yes | 9c | 681.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…40c5backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…f3c5backed Yes | 17c | 584$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77c…ad9bbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe078…0de5backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a088backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…638abacked Yes | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 7c | 441.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…3577backed Yes | 8c | 353.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf5…bf81backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…f6c9backed Yes | 9c | 325$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…16f8backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 10c | 311.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc80…cebabacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…0e85backed Yes | 11c | 276.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…3786backed Yes | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 9c | 267$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…7f21backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…080ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf686…bb58backed Yes | 9c | 229.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…5659backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…2032backed Yes | 10c | 201.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…37d2backed Yes | 8c | 197.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…b6e0backed Yes | 8c | 192.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe835…cd50backed Yes | 8c | 172.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d4…8fcdbacked Yes | 12c | 165$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 152$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…6ae4backed Yes | 9c | 149.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…5f7fbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…a52fbacked Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…8b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…c9febacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…447dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25f…084cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ec…31a4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cf…1d5abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…a1c0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…b59ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…c202backed Yes | 14c | 104.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1579…3892backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…a47abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…d134backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…a2febacked Yes | 33c | 91.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…a6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2029…8ee0backed Yes | 18c | 83.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbab…7002backed Yes | 18c | 75.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf43…d362backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.