Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe989158c45c6da1ed6d596b1c7008335f0b6748f7047f5dfaeba307a567f924e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c31…09c2backed Yes | 2c | 8,903$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 7,633$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.82 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 6c | 4,365$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 6c | 2,167$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…735fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,769$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…acbabacked Yes | 6c | 1,652$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 8c | 1,313$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d53…9e06backed Yes | 7c | 1,301$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…f1b2backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…887fbacked Yes | 7c | 928.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77c…ad9bbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…2d3cbacked Yes | 6c | 633.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…2026backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3641…43f9backed Yes | 7c | 587.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…7ca4backed Yes | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…ed95backed Yes | 6c | 462.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…575cbacked Yes | 7c | 453$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…2d93backed Yes | 7c | 445.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 7c | 437.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…16f8backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 13c | 390.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…a2febacked Yes | 9c | 347.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c89…7de2backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes | 6c | 309.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…7f21backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…56c0backed Yes | 10c | 289.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…6327backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf686…bb58backed Yes | 6c | 238.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…dc22backed Yes | 6c | 232.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…b6afbacked Yes | 7c | 230.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 11c | 222$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8759…aca3backed Yes | 11c | 204.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 6c | 201.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e8…c261backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…22f7backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 6c | 182$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d6…62b2backed Yes | 7c | 177$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…80b0backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Yes | 10c | 113$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…3dd6backed Yes | 10c | 103.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…9ffdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…6568backed Yes | 14c | 72.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.