Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4333f84901097b882ec55c73a643964de4d7f6b566f6579b75113c1d79529c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 1c | 2,280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Yes | 13c | 2,054$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…575cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,162$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…2d93backed Yes | 9c | 1,063$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 13c | 777.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 7c | 764.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 701.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…a2febacked Yes | 13c | 390.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…8a90backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…190dbacked Yes | 13c | 315.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…76f0backed Yes | 11c | 299.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 13c | 252.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…1ac0backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3adcbacked Yes | 13c | 201$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 12c | 193.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…449cbacked Yes | 9c | 179.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 8c | 156.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…9747backed Yes | 13c | 154.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…7202backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…c7e6backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c4…d022backed Yes | 13c | 133.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…f7e4backed Yes | 10c | 131.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…49dcbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…577dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…411bbacked Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…f572backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 79c | 82.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…7750backed Yes | 28c | 53.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 65c | 26.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.