Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a03613da7056cbab523ad870910d5d6bc095aa04639bdcf577c687387f2526a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 2c | 10,290$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,448$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 3c | 1,792$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabec…2e2ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,693$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…2fb2backed Yes | 3c | 1,619$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…575cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,589$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 1,415$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…646cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 2c | 1,208$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…f454backed Yes | 3c | 1,012$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…ee3abacked Yes | 3c | 987.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 3c | 847.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…4532backed Yes | 3c | 785.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de3…5a8bbacked Yes | 2c | 700.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes | 3c | 666.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…7ca4backed Yes | 2c | 652.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…b6afbacked Yes | 3c | 648.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…1558backed Yes | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8872…5f19backed Yes | 2c | 489.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Yes | 3c | 487.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…03b4backed Yes | 3c | 484.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…653ebacked Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…7f21backed Yes | 3c | 470.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 3c | 468.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 3c | 459.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…b04fbacked Yes | 2c | 454.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…d6e1backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…5252backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0ccbbacked Yes | 3c | 308.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…56c1backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd0…32b7backed Yes | 19c | 56.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.