TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b35…b8f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT8833%29 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+214.8%+$62.33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$20.9
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$310.03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+181%+$143.81
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+147%+$56.53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$72.81
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.95
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$64.16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.89
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$111.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$45.94
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+198.6%+$88.7
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT8362.7%52 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.06
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.75
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.04
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$58.65
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$33.9
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.06
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG - Game 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$33.68
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$53.75
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.65
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.44
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.14
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.2
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.08
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$134.58
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$30.48
LoL: Barça eSports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$65.24
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.5
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$163.06
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.51
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$22
Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BakS eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.09
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.72
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$84.24
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$75.04
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group Abacked Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.96
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.85
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.6
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$41.6
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$124.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$152.64
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.56
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$251.6
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$75.08
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Cbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked No Hoodwink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$37.53
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$85
Dota 2: Chandogs vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.6
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Flame Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$39.76
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.84
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.67
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.2
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$38.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.