Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d3e16def9c06865c229be9ce2248dc5bf75324f6961d6f0ca1a0d9a3c3a5e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 84,000$44,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,479.98 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 75,099$35,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,296.53 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 15,419$7,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,088.43 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 14,897$6,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.3 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.99 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 10,931$5,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,028.05 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 9,227$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.45 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…3220backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.99 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 5,220$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.37 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 5,000$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,907$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.09 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,711$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.06 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 3,483$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.42 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 3,054$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.42 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 3,000$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.76 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 2,868$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.93 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.1 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,134$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.42 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.57 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 1,354$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.37 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 1,225$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.1 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 279 | 46.2%129 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…4f24backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 985$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.25 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 979.09$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.59 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 978$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.22 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 908.96$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.12 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 861.71$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.27 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 851.11$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 705.61$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.43 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 574.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.38 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…30c1backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 571.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.97 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 555$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 501$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.46 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 495.86$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.05 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 475.27$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.79 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 457.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 450.52$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.53 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6001backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 356$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 233 | 32.6%76 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 351.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…f0d6backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 299.07$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.58 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 273.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.03 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 249.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 245.82$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 226.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 208.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 193.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…4a37backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 184.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…cffcbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 176.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…aab1backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 162.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 190 | 45.3%86 W · 104 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 161$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 157.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 129.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 127.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 124.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 188 | 31.4%59 W · 129 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 123.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…0cd6backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 122.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 110.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c1…1527backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 97.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 89.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.