Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860e1c06034a87e2e4cc1bd66398247339515a7eb3f38fedb79f386a90ebf1da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $874,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $874,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b1d…76a0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 73,051$34,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,678.52 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 44,217$18,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,163.76 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…f0a7backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 35,000$24,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250.41 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 27,541$13,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,663.09 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 23,856$17,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,232.65 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 18,452$6,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,921.7 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 18,111$10,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,793.04 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…4d41backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 17,837$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,875.33 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 15,015$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.99 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 11,459$8,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.67 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…7ffebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 10,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +19.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…5d00backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…5e4fbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 6,561$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 6,500$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.06 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 6,288$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.61 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 6,186$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.54 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 6,099$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.51 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 5,844$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.88 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 5,710$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,693$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.62 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 5,482$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.13 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 5,204$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.86 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 4,943$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.77 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 4,766$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.75 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 4,763$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.5 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 4,512$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.87 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…db20backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 4,444$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.54 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,304$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.38 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 4,200$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.21 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 4,100$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.32 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 4,000$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.24 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 3,889$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.7 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 3,849$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.24 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ee18backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 3,545$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,388$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.9 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 3,333$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 3,194$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.55 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 3,167$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.37 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1d…3dfcbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 3,118$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.54 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 3,043$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.17 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 3,019$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.64 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 2,933$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.07 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 2,785$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.73 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 2,709$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.95 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,700$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.77 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,519$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.4 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…fbcfbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 2,500$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.66 | 273 | 67%183 W · 90 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 2,437$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.99 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 2,313$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.11 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,197$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,104$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 294 | 43.2%127 W · 167 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,088$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.82 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 2,038$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.64 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 2,019$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.52 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,012$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.14 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,004$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.04 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 1,948$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.13 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 1,916$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.98 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 1,891$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.48 | 267 | 65.9%176 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 1,885$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 1,849$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.4 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,798$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.42 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,769$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.24 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,713$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.85 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,607$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d72…02d0backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Karmine Corp | 35c | 1,593$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.53 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,588$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.71 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 1,553$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.29 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 1,510$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.27 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 320 | 45.6%146 W · 174 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,489$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.26 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,478$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 328 | 44.2%145 W · 183 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 1,438$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.72 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,404$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.76 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,381$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.61 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 1,380$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.97 | 213 | 52.6%112 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 1,379$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.97 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,341$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.59 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,307$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.88 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8c…c7b5backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,307$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 1,275$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.5 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,274$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.15 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 1,250$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.91 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 1,221$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.43 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 1,211$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.36 | 265 | 51.7%137 W · 128 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Karmine Corp | 20c | 1,200$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962 | 155 | 41.3%64 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 230 | 53.9%124 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.