Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe4531b7aa43541a5724dd2a85e2723aebfc2b909e2b80034533fbface9ab40b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $930,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,002,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b1d…76a0backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 128,363$70,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,812.75 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 78,196$51,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,385.19 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 50,000$13,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,457.47 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 44,291$13,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,343.49 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 25,868$19,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,741.44 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 23,650$7,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,614.53 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 22,744$16,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.15 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 20,475$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270.02 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 19,226$6,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,633.88 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…5e4fbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 15,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 14,426$10,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.54 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 14,392$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,132.44 | 532 | 55.1%293 W · 239 L | +23.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 13,922$9,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,426.5 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 11,610$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.49 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 9,936$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,148.13 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 9,866$5,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.14 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 9,812$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120.25 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 9,700$7,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.89 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 8,869$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.4 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 7,657$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.75 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 7,375$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.86 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 7,291$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.33 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 6,669$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.46 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 6,043$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.33 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 6,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.81 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 5,555$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.53 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 5,399$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.65 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 5,396$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.43 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 5,212$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.23 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 4,975$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.9 | 849 | 42.5%361 W · 488 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…db20backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 4,500$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 4,468$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.09 | 189 | 71.4%135 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 4,279$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.28 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 4,095$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.92 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,889$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ee18backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 3,772$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.46 | 213 | 52.6%112 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 3,686$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.4 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 3,636$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.11 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 3,523$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.06 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 3,400$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.98 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 3,281$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.6 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 3,200$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 3,152$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.53 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…c8cdbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,033$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.8 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,986$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.71 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 2,969$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.33 | 462 | 63.9%295 W · 167 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,965$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.47 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,963$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,900$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,875$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.94 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 2,728$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.31 | 266 | 35%93 W · 173 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,357$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,338$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.46 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 2,308$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,220$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.27 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 2,183$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.95 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 2,064$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.37 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 2,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.23 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 2,011$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 2,000$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.98 | 1,536 | 54.8%842 W · 694 L | +75.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1,203 | 35.7%430 W · 773 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 1,912$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.93 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 1,900$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.86 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,799$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.14 | 653 | 59.4%388 W · 265 L | +70.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,783$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.69 | 582 | 59.5%346 W · 236 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,776$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.4 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 1,772$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.74 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 1,689$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.77 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 1,618$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.58 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 1,600$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.99 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,598$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.92 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…96adbacked Karmine Corp | 65c | 1,585$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.62 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 1,578$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.12 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 1,510$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.81 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,508$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.92 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.85 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 1,482$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.32 | 265 | 51.7%137 W · 128 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 1,430$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.83 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Karmine Corp | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.57 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…c49bbacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 1,359$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.35 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.42 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,292$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.67 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 1,223$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…4307backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 1,220$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…4211backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.18 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,200$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…f82dbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,183$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,183$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.73 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 1,169$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.54 | 938 | 44.3%416 W · 522 L | -31.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 1,163$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.69 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,137$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.96 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.