TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over36c55,000$19,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,949.6117034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c51,464$34,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,188.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under76c9,410$7,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.7915844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under52c6,018$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under53c5,692$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.613850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over37c5,658$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.392,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under67c5,099$3,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.4814544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over19c4,845$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.5214612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under51c4,831$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.6814132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under69c3,520$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.3525942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under59c3,372$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.234665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under50c3,195$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.319825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under7c2,680$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.49137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under57c2,257$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.8984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Over16c2,185$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.24727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under68c2,094$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.7121143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.972050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Over17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9411654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over33c1,987$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.612146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c1,912$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.583,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under64c1,553$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.3985851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under65c1,386$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.7263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over66c1,224$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.4359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over57c1,202$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.6937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under36c1,184$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.442,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over45c1,180$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over60c1,169$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.3422656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c1,082$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.681,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under51c1,051$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Under10c1,025$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.881323.1%3 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick8cpaid+196.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over42c1,010$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.4340239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under41c1,007$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.6534533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over16c999.83$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9743826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under64c968.5$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6334731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c955.63$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0719946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under40c941.3$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.134744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed Over45c891.64$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010350.5%52 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c889.14$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.762,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under52c884.55$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.788643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over2c871.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4225125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under55c830.29$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.6543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under49c781.1$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under66c744$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1333443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under75c730.66$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6622551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over20c704.74$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under42c659.45$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.489627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under41c659.03$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.213268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under41c477.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.771,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under51c444$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5615646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over73c410.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.995950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under37c406.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.768334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Under10c401.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.53525.7%9 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick6cpaid+327.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009359.1%55 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over38c312$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4110157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over26c305.85$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3519026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over37c301.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4833120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over23c299.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under52c290.6$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.741,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Over46c285.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked Under62c268$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.843650%18 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over34c264.42$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0123345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c260.38$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13821747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over30c250.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6923940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Under65c246.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.157636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over18c245.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1435658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over16c242.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over16c240$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.423732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4495…e6d7backed Over59c223.59$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.927057.1%40 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under42c222.22$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under63c221.03$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9224849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over39c219$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.411,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under40c214.08$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4714526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under51c209.8$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.83850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…1bc0backed Over56c207.46$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over50c196.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.373060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Under51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.076855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under63c194.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6850833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1895…c242backed Over55c191.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under67c185.01$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.053759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.914450.7%73 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over46c180$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8250450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under19c170.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.58817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Over17c165$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0517217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under47c157.15$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.512,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under10c152.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.822020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.527352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under51c150.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9819448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over16c146.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3820330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under58c145.87$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6511631.9%37 W · 79 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over15c131.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.717218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed Over52c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5819218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under54c123.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5623658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over44c118.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under78c110.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2616153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over78c110$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6446562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.