Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb4f28aa3ceb8fdc4ba929588861d984127156080230ffcefafc6c4ce1b7290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 7c | 14,729$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.64 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 3,654$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.05 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 63c | 3,238$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.06 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 26c | 2,191$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.64 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 74c | 2,158$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.6 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 80c | 1,857$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.37 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 25c | 1,419$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 7c | 887.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Under | 77c | 828.69$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.21 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 7c | 597.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 7c | 560.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Over | 27c | 547.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed Over | 5c | 535.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 65c | 535.16$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.03 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 16c | 500.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 65c | 452.95$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 6c | 436.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 21c | 368.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 16c | 348.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Over | 6c | 344.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 30c | 330.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 69c | 322.1$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 22c | 228.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 7c | 219.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 218.68$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 79c | 199.11$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 7c | 166.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 36c | 103.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 15c | 98.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 41c | 73.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 21c | 58.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over | 31c | 51.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 58c | 47.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 69c | 36.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 77c | 32.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…1fd5backed Under | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 72c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5this page
- Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Over won
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Norway won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.