TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$431,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$580,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over70c147,327$103,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,811.3417034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c88,160$28,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,009.274,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under28c22,186$6,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,225.2144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under27c13,053$3,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under34c10,499$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.1456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under18c9,346$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.714727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under30c6,367$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.981,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c5,745$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.743,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under29c5,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46085851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under31c4,929$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.1821143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under5c4,793$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5514542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under30c4,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35034357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under21c4,305$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.871926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over69c3,907$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.762,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under23c3,461$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6641…fccdbacked Under4c3,278$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.992665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f9c…b3e0backed Under33c3,035$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Under65c2,745$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.373050%15 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under32c2,650$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.241,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under19c2,357$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.6738819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over62c2,349$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.328058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Over34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.911654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over35c1,857$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.1445428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Under1c1,623$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under17c1,610$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.6384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over34c1,440$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under29c1,359$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.788643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c1,335$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.832,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under31c1,214$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7651514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over61c1,195$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under5c1,167$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over48c1,154$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.2411122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under40c1,131$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.1819850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under2c1,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.416910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over31c1,000$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.3822041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over31c977.87$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.786152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under30c974$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7633443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under32c937.63$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under29c887.42$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under67c851.44$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.5984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under53c832.64$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.31968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over74c751$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.887057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under43c687.09$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4591…12d3backed Under67c631.6$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over34c626.38$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.413542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under31c608.16$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.931,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under26c591.91$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7526647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over70c541.94$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9410949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under31c533.82$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3530054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1060…d28bbacked Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under39c474.69$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.135554.5%30 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over34c472$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.83,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under30c466.63$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Under55c439.27$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408138.3%31 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over47c438.74$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1535658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under67c422.89$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.191,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Over35c417.29$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2914738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked Over35c408.57$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.574057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419f…9cdcbacked Over72c403$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.841070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Under4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15547.4%4 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under30c335.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5763745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7196…73d9backed Under30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc5…d49fbacked Under30c331.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8755153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over34c320.35$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.431747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under26c316.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2834122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0323857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8417459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1222746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over73c292.22$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8123940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under30c270.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over53c259$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under67c248.23$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.793,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd764…ae83backed Under30c243.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.593737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over72c233.57$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6223345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under32c227.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.781,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under25c227$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.612,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Under67c225.37$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518158%47 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Over61c207.56$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under11c202.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.39812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7221955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9911750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under12c184.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.518817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under22c171.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6114647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under32c162$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1311860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under69c158.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e7…fae1backed Under10c150.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under66c150$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0619746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.068048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8318769.5%130 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under58c143.25$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7563151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under66c136.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.448152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under39c135$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6560752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.