TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under9c10,642$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c3,190$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.3510539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under10c2,752$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.414,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under29c2,233$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.9784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under44c1,951$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c1,628$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under25c1,545$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.2144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over75c1,520$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38040239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.0422041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under35c1,137$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.119744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over69c1,077$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.32,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c1,053$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.413,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over53c1,000$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.33554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47019850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over54c944.37$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.3715650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c919.74$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.761,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under19c773.2$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.411926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c674.94$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.9421747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over57c525.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Under42c522.14$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.33050%15 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c476.28$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2172,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c454.11$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.961,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over67c446.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over58c423.48$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8668141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c394.76$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.941,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under16c394.66$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.61,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over55c351.48$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.178549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Over50c339.82$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.912835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over57c315.5$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6725865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over62c310.9$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6428964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under47c310$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.728162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14719026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12922746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c299.63$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8941451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over69c297.84$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over59c293.7$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8535658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over70c270.25$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.414,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Under10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under36c231$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.272,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002119%4 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over56c223$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.122,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under38c215.26$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4844435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Over52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.549359.1%55 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over75c209.09$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3330054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over74c208.87$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2714556.6%82 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9214146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under45c199.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9912831.3%40 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over57c194.74$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.741747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over53c189.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3224649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6815949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over62c184.35$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over55c182.93$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.923940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c174.51$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.341,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over58c173.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5324555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over75c169.33$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3317459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over57c159.12$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.424057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over58c149.11$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6341857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over54c149.04$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1223345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over56c147.61$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.193,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.235345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over52c139.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.813151.1%67 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.146958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over74c133.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7816544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over56c125.05$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.887953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under19c125$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2950833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under33c122$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7218444.6%82 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under44c119.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.824344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over63c113.51$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.931,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under45c109.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.771,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under22c108.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.052,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over55c108.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6231554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over56c107.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.173,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under47c105.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7823036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Over55c105$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.257954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd57…e759backed Over54c103.59$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over52c103.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa9…513ebacked Over58c102.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Under44c100.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.434847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.331,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9920050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over54c95.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7918371%130 W · 53 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf535…4103backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346765.7%44 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under45c92.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over53c92.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5838439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.598843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over53c90.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5713253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2818435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over52c85.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8616758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Over56c82.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.141957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c79.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.450450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under47c74.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9927154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.073650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c73.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.671,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa276…73aebacked Over54c71.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1843653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d1…82b1backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.696556.9%37 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.