Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41c6ae853b85dcc175e1f0185188bc7c0444940f1a13813ff9cf0d8211a6105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 23c | 2,430$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.83 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 12c | 1,826$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.31 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 15c | 838.15$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 668.89$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 77c | 646.1$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 12c | 643.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 630.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 19c | 561.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 77c | 544.38$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.21 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 6c | 292$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 11c | 256.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 13c | 241.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 7c | 201.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 79c | 111.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 77c | 101.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e9…9ed3backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 95.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 24c | 90.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Under | 24c | 85.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 20c | 55.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f5…b965backed Over | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 80c | 43.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 77c | 32.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…a964backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…83f6backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Over | 80c | 25.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 230 | 62.6%144 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5this page
- Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Over won
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
- Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Norway won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.