TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over51c70,081$35,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,741.3920545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Over54c60,026$32,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,175.164438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under46c37,000$17,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,979.9816039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over51c22,872$11,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,555.8815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under58c21,421$12,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,996.9311864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c19,490$9,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,011.269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under49c15,224$7,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,764.1510860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c14,584$7,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,437.721,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c12,477$5,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,521.551,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c10,537$5,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,373.762,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c10,425$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,316.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over50c8,190$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,095.0712450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Under49c6,435$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.818154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c5,802$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.724,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Over54c5,578$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.3917646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under49c2,925$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.7564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c2,050$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under49c1,542$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.5217250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7951,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Under67c1,496$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.375339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under58c1,464$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.0343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c1,177$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c1,173$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.892,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over35c996.71$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.8568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c956.37$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.531,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over51c882.35$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under63c792.41$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.881,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6043…84afbacked Over50c770$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed Over54c748.84$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.481735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over53c661$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3331354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c642.46$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb1…cc29backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c455.56$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24646258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561b…837ebacked Over50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c19…3ec0backed Over50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c441.23$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.883,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over51c407.84$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2086448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…b852backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Over53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c225$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11742853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over52c217.31$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1136659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c215.23$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10860346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…0a76backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under47c210.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10285449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005850%29 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ff…c6c2backed Over54c190.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008447.6%40 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Under49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.673638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+47.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…d224backed Over51c156$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.563125.8%8 W · 23 L-6.8wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.529556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed Over55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over53c117.15$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.727450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1267…6a31backed Under50c100.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.231154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2724936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2717748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8963…c780backed Under73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a5…a850backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9216429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c8…3ba8backed Under48c82.19$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.741662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5412…6214backed Under73c79.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Over30c73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.911329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under48c71.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3715543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under66c70.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.133159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Over42c69.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3920655.3%114 W · 92 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f4…16f3backed Under59c66.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.372458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6244747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over30c62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Under49c56.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.764247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82d…7882backed Under49c51.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.342821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under60c51.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5914860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.527945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Over30c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.513036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over30c41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.331238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under45c40.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4321149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.610651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.823441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.