NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x075c99a049182141476faf70267db947d6beea13448d1e40de2a62e34e0cd317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 17,009$8,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,997.64 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 12,311$6,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,474.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 55c | 9,626$5,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265.48 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.97 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 50c | 5,300$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 3,930$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.03 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over | 52c | 3,304$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.03 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 3,117$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 2,995$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 2,919$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.9 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 55c | 2,660$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 51c | 2,562$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.24 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 40c | 2,478$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 48c | 2,135$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.75 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 2,081$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.63 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 46c | 2,063$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.92 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…dfc5backed Over | 55c | 1,926$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 47c | 1,866$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.11 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 47c | 1,756$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.61 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 1,645$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Over | 55c | 1,526$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.84 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 1,469$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 27c | 1,374$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Over | 45c | 1,347$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 37c | 1,268$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 1,110$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.02 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 44c | 1,088$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.12 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 55c | 1,000$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 46c | 1,000$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.5 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 55c | 904.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Over | 54c | 900$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…88fabacked Over | 55c | 896.03$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.29 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Over | 55c | 851.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 841.62$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 825.29$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.69 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Over | 56c | 758.21$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.83 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 689.34$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.44 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 673.73$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.34 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…9fdebacked Over | 53c | 621.16$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.65 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Over | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.66 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 584$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 525.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.56 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 55c | 512$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.41 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 49c | 506.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.67 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 455$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.43 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…64a8backed Over | 55c | 455$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Over | 40c | 446.05$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa19…e444backed Under | 50c | 430$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Over | 4c | 420.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 48c | 410.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.86 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 47c | 396.25$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 48c | 393.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.57 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 46c | 375$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.37 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 55c | 361.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 45c | 352.55$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 44c | 352.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.24 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 55c | 350$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…5473backed Over | 45c | 341.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 11c | 337.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 45c | 326.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Over | 46c | 326.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Over | 50c | 315$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 28c | 299.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 45c | 288$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 45c | 271.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Under | 74c | 269.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 250$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 49c | 246.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 52c | 244.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Over | 42c | 236.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Over | 45c | 222.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 62c | 211.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c5…6dd1backed Over | 48c | 208.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over | 48c | 200.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…8129backed Over | 55c | 200.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 52c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…f631backed Over | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 199.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 50c | 192.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…883cbacked Over | 53c | 188.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 54c | 184.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 57c | 183$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 56c | 180.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 177$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…924fbacked Over | 46c | 172.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 39c | 164.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 55c | 162.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Over | 15c | 158.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Under | 44c | 158.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 48c | 156.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cc…992cbacked Over | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 72c | 149.38$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 50c | 145.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 55c | 143.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Under | 49c | 131.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.